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Monday 28 April 2008

Starbucks focuses on Coffee ?

 

Starbucks Logo A little while back I looked at whether you should buy Starbucks or the Coffee ETF-Should I buy Coffee or Starbucks ?

My conclusion was that I thought Coffee would go higher and that as I favour for most commodity related stocks I prefer (if you can to buy the Commodity as there are a number of factors that can negatively impact on a stock that are not related to  supply and demand. That proved to be a fairly good call as Starbucks unveiled weaker-than-expected estimates for its fiscal second quarter and year--sending shares down a whopping ten percent last Thursday.

Like a lot of successful companies Starbucks in a bid to grow started to expand and diversify away from its core business-selling coffee.

Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz is trying to get Starbucks focused on coffee--which means the entertainment business it's been building up over the past four years is now due to be pared down.

After the market close last week, the company announced it will no longer be managing its Hear Music record label, which launched just over a year ago with Paul McCartney on board.0_61_mccartney_paul_030107 Schultz is also shaking up the entertainment division's management -- Ken Lombard, an SVP and president of Starbucks Entertainment "has left the company," which usually means code for "pushed out." Now the division will be run by Chris Bruzzo, Starbucks' Chief Technology Officer, indicating the division the direction is moving towards-- digital downloads, and away from old fashioned CD sales.

Last year Starbucks made a deal to offer access to Apple's iTunes music store, in 600 plus of its stores through WiFi networks, and just last week it announced that it'll be handing out cards to allow customers to access songs and music videos online-- for free.

Starbucks isn't getting rid of this division. It just doesn't want to be in the business of producing music. It'll keep selling music in stores, though it's unclear if the company will change the style or variety of music it sells.

The company is trying to learn from its mistakes. It has no more plans to market movies again as the two films it promoted in-store had quite disappointing box office performance, so there doesn't seem to be incentive on either end.

But Starbucks will continue selling books in stores and working with William Morris Agency to find projects they think will sell. And Starbucks is powerful in the publishing industry--almost like when Oprah picks a book, getting chosen to be sold by Starbucks register almost always guarantees that a book becomes a best-seller.

AS I said in my previous posts my personal preference is for Coffee itself and I am looking for an opportune time to buy the Coffee ETF (COFF) which is building a nice base at the moment around the $3.15-$3.20 area.

 

 

Best Wishes

 

Alan