How to make Money in the Stock Market.This blog looks at how you can make money trading and investing in Forex, Stocks Options and Futures.

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Showing posts with label ISA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ISA. Show all posts

Monday, 10 March 2008

How to Short Commodities using ETF

In my last post we talked about how to make money from  increased food prices and looked at the  impact these prices would have on livestock such as Live cattle and Lean Hogs. I mentioned that for the more adventurous amongst you you might also wish to look at shorting the grains as they have risen very far very quickly.Shorting Commodities has traditionally been very difficult until the recent advent of Contra ETF's.

These ETF's will move higher when the price of the commodity goes lower allowing you to benefit from declining prices by buying the ETF.One of the most forward thinking of the companies involved in these Contra ETF's is ETF Securities   http://www.etfsecurities.com/csl/short/index.asp   ETF Securities will allow you to go short a number of the major traded commodities and since you are buying and not selling they should be  tradable in most accounts.

A major shortcoming of many  brokerage accounts has been the inability to make money when markets are doing anything but going up, now with these new ETC/ETF that is no longer a problem.It also allows for some quite sophisticated trades to be placed-for example if you are bought in to the story of the last two posts of mine and you are an aggressive trader you might consider going long livestock and short grains by buying one of the livestock ETF's such as CATL (Live Cattle) and buying one of the Short ETF such as SWEA (Wheat).

 

The volatility in the stockmarket currently is very difficult to invest in and is being driven back and forward by news and by the manipulations of the big boys, the commodity markets however are more fundamentally driven by supply and demand and so are easier to predict in the medium term.

 

Best Wishes

 

 

Alan

Tuesday, 6 February 2007

New Purchases FXS & FXE

Just a quick note to say that I am adding two of the Currency ETF's to my ISA. I am buying the FXS( Swedish Krona ETF) and the FXE (Euro Currency ETF).


Sweden is performing very well and its economy is strong, I expect that the Swedish Krona will strengthen further as we move into 2007.It will also give me some hedge against the potential of a falling Dollar(which doesnt seem to have happened yet !!-but I think it will).The dollar may confound its critics for the next while as (if you buy in to the conspiracy theories) the Presidential elections may mean that certain factions within the US government do not want their currency falling out of bed and impacting on the economy, in the run up to the Presidential elections.


I am looking at this holding being a longer term one anyway-assuming we do not hit our stop loss.I do not believe however that Krona strength will be dependent on Dollar Weakness anyway.


The second ETF was the FXE-Euro Currency Trust, the euro has pulled back here and we should find support in the mid 128 range if not before, from there I see that as a good launching pad for the euro to hit 133-136 sometime later in the year.


I have placed a stop loss of 5% on each of these as a 5% swing in the currency would be a fairly substantial move.



Best Wishes



Alan


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